Last updated: 2026-03-29
15
Predictions
10
Due 2026
5
Due 2027+
0
Scored
Most AI publications make predictions. Almost none track them. This page holds every testable claim published on Decoded AI Tech. When the deadline passes, the prediction gets scored.
Upcoming — 2026
NVIDIA will ship Nemotron 4 with quantization formats tuned to post-Blackwell hardware
At least 3 autonomous AI agents will hold positions in HackerOne’s top 20
At least one major API provider will ship native delimiter-format response modes alongside JSON
At least two major framework vendors will bundle evaluation pipelines as standard features
Every major AI lab will ship sparse MoE architecture — inference economics guarantee it
Google’s AI Mode will show answer quality regressions as publisher content thins
HBM3 demand will exceed pre-TurboQuant analyst consensus; memory stocks will trade above March 24 levels by December
The first significant UK copyright claim against an AI training company will reach a British courtroom
Most LLM API providers will enforce instruction hierarchy natively, making manual prompt delimiters unnecessary
Most top-20 North American banks will deploy at least one on-premise SLM for fraud screening
Longer Term — 2027+
The shadow AI 3:1 ratio will become a standard metric in software composition analysis reports
Judge Stein’s consolidated ruling on AI copyright training cases will have landed
A majority of R1 research universities will adopt AI competency or literacy requirements
OpenTelemetry GenAI SIG will become the default observability layer for enterprise AI agents
Global data centre electricity consumption will reach ~945 TWh (IEA base-case)